Mon
Monetary Policy
Topic
81.8%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 143
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Quantitative easing is predicted to have a 0% chance of occurring as long as Jerome Powell remains chairman of the Federal Reserve.
"I think there's a basically a 0% chance that as long as Jerome Powell is the chairman of the Federal..."
Sep 19, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is not expected to negatively impact market sentiment this week.
"I don't expect the Fed to ruin the mood this week."
Sep 15, 2025
Pending
Quantitative Easing (QE) is predicted to begin around September 16-17, 2025.
"we have QE all but telegraphed coming in in about eight days, nine days"
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
The Fed funds rate is likely to be at 3.5% or lower by mid-late 2026.
"it seems likely that sometime mid 2026, late 2026, that the 2-year yield could very well be or the F..."
Sep 6, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is highly likely to implement a rate cut in September 2025 due to a weak jobs report.
"with a with a weak jobs report, it seems highly likely that we will get a rate cut in September."
Sep 6, 2025
Pending
Market easing (liquidity injection) is anticipated to occur before official interest rate cuts are enacted.
"This is easing for the markets at large before the easing on interest rates comes."
Aug 29, 2025
Pending
If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates while inflation is already rising, it will exacerbate the inflation problem.
"So if inflation is already on the rise and then they begin to cut rates, that will only exacerbate t..."
Aug 26, 2025
Pending
The government is predicted to print money by the end of 2025.
"Do I believe that they're going to print money in the end of the year? Absolutely."
Aug 21, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement rate cuts in September (2025).
"Fed rate cuts are expected to happen in September."
Aug 18, 2025
Pending
The financial system is predicted to implement quantitative easing.
"the system is going to have to do quantitative easing to keep this can being kicked down the road."
Aug 18, 2025
Pending
The Fed is predicted to cut interest rates in September 2025.
"They're probably still going to cut rates in September. ... I would still say the most likely outcom..."
Aug 14, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut rates within approximately one month of the video's publication (by mid-September 2025).
"My prediction is this. In about 1 month, it is highly likely that the Federal Reserve cuts rates."
Aug 13, 2025
Pending
The resumption of interest rate cuts will be followed by quantitative easing, indicating a shift to easier monetary policy.
"And when they resume the interest rate cuts, it's going to be an easier monetary policy. So, first c..."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to adopt a hawkish stance, potentially more so than previously, during the FOMC meeting on July 30, 2025.
"So, I don't think that JP is going to be dovish. In fact, I think he's going to be more hawkish than..."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicted that FOMC would not implement a rate cut during the meeting on July 30, 2025.
"There is no rate cut. I was surprised in that there's a 92% or 97% that there is not going to be a r..."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold could exhaust President Trump's patience with Chair Powell.
"it could be the last draw for Trump on his patience with Chair Powell."
Jul 28, 2025
Pending
Strong labor market will likely delay Fed rate cuts and the end of quantitative tightening.
"because the labor market is still doing very well... it's likely just going to delay rate cuts and p..."
Jul 3, 2025
Pending
The Fed is predicted to implement a rate cut in July, which would be a surprise given the market's expectation for the first cut in September.
"I do think that in July, when the Fed meet, we're going to get a rate cut. The market's pricing in t..."
Jul 1, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to decrease interest rates by 25 basis points in July [2025].
"I think that the Fed is going to decrease by 25 basis points in July."
Jun 26, 2025
Pending
Quantitative easing (money printing) is predicted to resume in 2026.
"The money printer is going to be turned back on in 2026."
Jun 23, 2025
Pending
More money printing is considered inevitable.
"it's inevitable that we're going to print more money"
Jun 23, 2025
Pending
The money printer (quantitative easing) is not expected to be turned back on until 2027 or 2028.
"we might not see like that money printer really turn back on until 2027, 2028."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted not to cut interest rates in 2025, specifically not by a full point as advocated by Donald Trump.
"Will the Federal Reserve actually do it? Um, I don't I don't think so. I don't think that they shoul..."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
Treasury's expanded bond buybacks indicate a move towards a Fed-like role.
"expanded bond buybacks by the Treasury are evidence that Scott is slowly headed in that direction"
May 17, 2025
Pending
A Federal Reserve interest rate decision, whether a cut or a hold, will be announced on May 7, 2025.
"We got a rate cut later on that's coming up. And you're going to see whether they choose to cut or h..."
May 7, 2025
Pending
Global monetary policy will soon re-enter an inflationary money printing cycle, including the Fed cutting rates.
"we're going to go back into a uh inflationary, you know, money printing cycle uh very shortly. You k..."
May 2, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to end Quantitative Tightening in 2025, possibly in the coming months (from video publication date) if market conditions do not improve.
"Perhaps they will end quantitative tightening in 2025, right? I mean, it's always possible they go l..."
Apr 29, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve might end quantitative tightening in the coming months of 2025 if stock market conditions do not improve.
"it certainly opens the door for them to potentially NQT uh sometime in in the coming months, especia..."
Apr 29, 2025
Pending
Increasing pain in financial markets is predicted to lead to looser monetary policy.
"And the way you get monetary policy change is you get pain in the markets. We are getting pain in th..."
Apr 24, 2025
Pending
It is predicted that the Federal Reserve will eventually be forced to print trillions of dollars to finance government spending, a trend that has potentially already begun, leading to significant capital misallocation.
"the Fed will eventually be forced to print money to finance whatever it is that the government wants..."
Apr 23, 2025
Pending
A significant and surprising amount of money printing is likely to occur again.
"The big print is probably coming in a way that's going to be shocking to the world once again."
Apr 10, 2025
Pending
The next interest rate cut is expected to occur in June, as largely priced in by the market.
"Next rate cuts probably going to come in June. Market largely pricing in June, not May."
Apr 10, 2025
Pending
Should the selling of US Treasury bills persist, the Fed will be compelled to purchase them, leading to Quantitative Easing (QE) to stabilize markets.
"if this dump continues into US T bills, one way or the only way to fix the markets is that the Fed a..."
Apr 9, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts that if the dumping of US T-bills continues, the Fed will be forced to intervene by buying T-bills, implementing a form of quantitative easing (QE) to stabilize the markets and prevent widespread financial distress. This is expected to resolve in the next couple of days.
"if this dump continues into US T bills, one way or the only way to fix the markets is that the Fed a..."
Apr 9, 2025
Pending
Deutsche Bank predicts that if US Treasury market disruptions persist, the Fed will execute emergency purchases of treasuries (QE) to stabilize the bond market.
"Deutsche Bank came out and said if recent disruptions in the US Treasury market continue we see no o..."
Apr 9, 2025
Pending
The Fed will be forced to intervene and inject stimulus into the financial system.
"this could mean that the Fed will actually be forced to act. And if the Fed is forced to act, that w..."
Apr 9, 2025
Pending
Quantitative Tightening (QT) by the Fed is expected to end in May, June, or July 2025.
"my expectation right now given the state of the market is that QT will end in either May, June or Ju..."
Apr 9, 2025
Pending
Periods of easy monetary policy will eventually return.
"Easy money times will return, just not today."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Central banks are likely to implement quantitative easing and begin rate cuts after the current major market turmoil subsides.
"They're probably going to put on the printers at some point. Probably going to start the rate cuts a..."
Apr 7, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve was predicted to cut interest rates in May 2025.
"If the Fed doesn't cut damn rates in May I mean what are you waiting for Jerome at this point man"
Apr 3, 2025
Pending
Global quantitative easing will increase, even if the US Federal Reserve does not ease as quickly as expected.
"I I still think actually the US may not ease as quickly think people think it will, but I think glob..."
Mar 31, 2025
Pending
Interest rates are predicted to remain higher for longer, and quantitative tightening will proceed at a slower pace for an extended period.
"potentially we're going to be uh what is it lower for longer or rates higher for longer I should say..."
Mar 20, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted not to implement rate cuts, anticipating inflation caused by tariffs.
"fed sees more fed sees more inflation which they know is going to come with the with the tariffs the..."
Mar 20, 2025
Pending
Quantitative tightening is predicted to end by mid-2025.
"Signs are looking good for quantitative tightening to end in midyear."
Mar 19, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) by mid-2025 or sooner.
"sometime by the middle of the year if not sooner there's a good chance that the FED will end quantit..."
Mar 4, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve might stop Quantitative Tightening (QT) at their February 2025 meeting.
"maybe they stop it at the February meeting"
Jan 26, 2025
Pending
If the dollar and 10-year yield top in Q1 2025, the labor market will likely loosen throughout 2025, prompting the Federal Reserve to end quantitative tightening and begin quantitative easing.
"if that is the case then the implication of that would be that the labor market will likely continue..."
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
Bank of England and Federal Reserve base rates are predicted to fall by an additional 0.75% to 1% within the next year or so (from early 2025).
"we'll probably another sort of 0.75% 1% come off Bank of England and and Federal Reserve US base rat..."
Jan 5, 2025
Incorrect
Governments will resort to printing money.
"I think they're going to have to print money"
Dec 30, 2024
Pending
The government is predicted to resort to printing money.
"I think they're going to have to print money"
Dec 30, 2024
Pending